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May 17 2019

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2019 NCAA Tournament: Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian odds, picks, predictions from model on 11-5 run

SportsLine’s advanced computer model simulated Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian 10,000 times

  • by CBS Sports Staff
  • Mar 21, 2019 at 1:40 pm ET • 2 min read

An NCAA Tournament newcomer faces off against college basketball royalty when Abilene Christian meets No. 2-seed Kentucky Thursday in the Round of 64. No. 15 seed Abilene Christian (27-6) qualified for its first-ever NCAA tournament by claiming the Southland Conference Tournament title, while Kentucky (27-6) received an at-large bid after tying Tennessee for second in the SEC regular season. Tipoff is set for 7:10 p.m. ET from VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville. Kentucky is favored by 20.5 in the latest Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 132. Before making any Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian picks of your own, be sure to see the 2019 NCAA Tournament predictions from SportsLine’s Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $4,000 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered the postseason on a strong 11-5 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian. We can tell you it is leaning over, and it has a strong against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. That one is available only at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account that Kentucky has a decisive edge in rebounding. It is 36th in the nation with 38.4 rebounds, compared to Abilene Christian, which averages 33.1, good for just 290th. Kentucky, which finished 15-3 in the SEC, is making its 59th NCAA Tournament appearance. This is its 11th year in a row with 20-plus wins and 28th time in 29 years. Big Blue entered the postseason on a roll and has won 17 of its last 20 games.

But just because UK has plenty of NCAA Tournament success does not mean it will cover the Kentucky vs. Abilene Christian spread on Thursday evening

Abilene Christian defeated New Orleans 77-60 in the Southland Conference Tournament championship game, capping off a streak that saw it win six straight and eight of its final 10. This is also a team that’s dangerous from deep.

Abilene Christian is 17th in the country in 3-point percentage (38.6), compared to Kentucky’s 36.4. Abilene Christian is led by senior forward Jaren Lewis (13.4 ppg), who has scored in double-figures in seven straight games and 25 of 31. Junior guard Payten Ricks (11.5 ppg) is also capable of big games, scoring 21 points against Southeast Louisiana in the Southland Conference Tournament semifinals. Plus, Kentucky forward P.J. Washington will miss Thursday’s game with a sprained foot.

So who wins Abilene Christian vs. Kentucky? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Abilene Christian vs. Kentucky spread to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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SOURCE: NEF6.COM
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